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Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills

It was Alabama coach Nick Saban’s decision to put true freshman Tua Tagovailoa on the field in the College Football Playoff National Championship last week, but it was offensive coordinator Brian Daboll’s play call that led to Tagovailoa’s game-winning touchdown in overtime.

Weighed down by an offense that scored only three touchdowns in seven games against playoff teams this season, the Buffalo Bills are hoping to steal some of the Crimson Tide’s magic. Coach Sean McDermott plucked Daboll away from Alabama on Sunday to become Buffalo’s fifth offensive coordinator in five seasons.

Now the Bills must do what Saban did by signing Tagovailoa, who was ESPN’s top-rated recruit at his position: find a quarterback.

That would be a novel development for Daboll, whose quarterbacks in his three previous stints as an NFL offensive coordinator have been Brady Quinn, Derek Anderson, Colt McCoy, Jake Delhomme, Seneca Wallace, Matt Moore, Chad Henne and Matt Cassel.
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Over that span, Daboll’s offenses finished 32nd (Cleveland Browns in 2009), 29th (Browns in 2010), 22nd (Miami Dolphins in 2011) and 24th (Kansas City Chiefs in 2012) in total yards.

Daboll has not worked miracles with any of the quarterbacks he has been given in his NFL career, but the Bills should not ask Daboll to try to turn an average starter such as Tyrod Taylor into something greater.

Buffalo is better off investing the resources in finding the next star at quarterback and seeing if Daboll can help steer the ship. That is what Daboll successfully did in a brief glimpse on a national stage when Tagovailoa replaced Jalen Hurts in the second half of the national championship.

The Bills fired Rick Dennison as offensive coordinator last week after one season on the job. Dennison had a background in coaching offensive lines and had been given full playcalling duties for the first time this past season.

Dennison seemed to overthink short-yardage and red-zone situations and struggled to get Taylor to push the ball downfield, frustrating fans by dialing up plays that ultimately resulted in check-down passes to fullback Patrick DiMarco or backup running back Mike Tolbert.

It is only one playcall, but Daboll showed a more aggressive streak when he had Alabama’s receivers run “Seattle” — four vertical routes — on second-and-26 in overtime. Tagovailoa had just taken a first-down sack and Daboll could have played it more conservatively to try to match Georgia’s field goal on the previous possession. But the gamble to go for the end zone paid off, with Daboll collecting the sixth championship ring of his career.

The Bills could benefit from Daboll’s experience at Alabama, as well as his five Super Bowl titles as an assistant coach for the New England Patriots. But in order for Daboll to prove himself as an effective NFL offensive coordinator in his fourth try, he will need a quarterback.

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Cincinnati Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis

Cincinnati Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis

Some people are mad. Others apathetic. A few supportive. We’ve even reached the burning jerseys in the snow and posting to social media portion of the program.

One aspect we can settle on in the wake of Marvin Lewis’ controversial return on a two-year contract: Everybody has an opinion.

The problem is, these opinions aren’t always based in fact. After 15 years, criticisms shifted both Mike Brown and Marvin Lewis into almost caricatures of themselves. It’s easy to lose sight of what complaints own merit and which are fallacy repeated into relevancy.

So, I asked those of you filling up my mentions to drop your primary gripe with Brown and Lewis on me, so I could find the most stated and dive into whether these are fact or fiction.

This came with the caveat of 0-7 in the playoffs not serving as a viable complaint because it’s the obvious, undeniable failure of the Lewis-Brown partnership.

Over the next five days, I take on the five most mentioned.

Today: Lewis struggles with halftime adjustments?

This showed up the most because it burns vividly into the recent memory of fans. The last two seasons have been filled with prominent games where the Bengals jumped out to leads at the break and were flattened in the second half.

If not for the shocking fourth-and-12 touchdown against Baltimore, the dramatic season finale would have looked like so many disappointments of a double-digit halftime evaporated into a day of what could have been.

Lewis debates the validity of “halftime adjustments.” With 12 minutes to enter the locker room and return to the field, only so many changes in plans can be discussed, to be certain.

“The ‘adjustment,’ that’s more journalism jargon than truth,” he said in a press conference to close the 2016 season.

Whether talking about actual adjustments or evaluating late-game performance, that’s merely semantics.

The truth lies in the numbers, in this case.

Let’s start with the last two seasons before pulling back to the big picture.

In the 14 games where the Bengals led at the half the last two years they went 9-5. The .643 winning percentage ranks 28th in the NFL over that span.

Since the Andy Dalton-A.J. Green Era commenced in 2011, the Bengals led at the half 59 times. They finished 44-14-1 in those games. That .754 record ranks 18th in the NFL over the span.

Now running all the way back to the beginning of the Marvin Lewis Era, the Bengals have gone 88-31-2 in games where they led at halftime. That .736 mark ranks 23rd in the NFL over that time.

Only once in Lewis’ 15 seasons have the Bengals finished in the top 10 of the NFL in protecting halftime leads. On the flip side, seven times they finished in the bottom 10.

No matter the era of which you break down, the Bengals have finished in the bottom half of the league or worse in holding on to a halftime lead.

The New England Patriots, unsurprisingly, lead the NFL in protecting leads over the span with a .913 winning percentage, going 147-14 when leading at the break since 2003.

Perhaps a better comparison would be the Bengals’ direct AFC North rival, Pittsburgh. The Steelers rank third in the NFL over the Lewis Era with a .865 winning percentage.

If the Bengals would have protected halftime leads at the same clip during the Lewis Era, they would have 17 more wins. That equates to more than one win per season and on more than one occasion serve as the difference between winning and losing the division or making the playoffs.

Speaking of the postseason, Cincinnati owned a halftime lead in two of the seven playoff losses. In 2005 against Pittsburgh and 2013 against the Chargers they led at the break by a field goal. They were outscored by a combined 37 points after halftime in those defeats.

Whether all this stems from “adjustments” or that’s truly journalism jargon for teams that don’t make enough plays in defining moments probably doesn’t matter in this case.

Call it what you want, the numbers back up the most common fan complaint.

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Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts

Adam Vinatieri announced after the Indianapolis Colts’ 23-16 loss to the Baltimore Ravens on Saturday that he’s planning to return for a 23rd NFL season, according to Colts.com’s Andrew Walker.

Vinatieri, 44, has anchored the Indianapolis Colts’ kicking game since 2006, and he’s proved over the past few years that age is just a number.

The oldest active player in the NFL, Vinatieri has remained effective since turning 40. That much was clear in 2014, when the four-time Super Bowl champion made a career- and league-high 96.8 percent of his field goals.

Vinatieri banged home 92.6 percent of his attempts the following season, and he’s been above 80 percent the ensuing two campaigns.

After posting an 87.1 percent conversion rate in 2016, Vinatieri has successfully booted 84.4 percent of his attempts in 2017, including going 6-of-7 between 40-49 yards and 4-of-5 from at least 50 yards out.

With one game remaining in his 22nd season, Vinatieri ranks second all-time behind Hall of Fame kicker Morten Andersen in total points (2,479) and made field goals (557).

But with a return to the gridiron on deck, Vinatieri appears poised to eclipse Andersen’s marks before he calls it a career.

The question moving forward is where Vinatieri—who was the only unanimous selection to the NFL’s Super Bowl 50 Golden Team—will lace up his cleats in 2018 since he’s scheduled to become a free agent when the new league year begins in March.

“Indianapolis is home to me and my family. I love the Irsay family, but I understand this is a business,” Vinatieri said, per Walker. “I just know I’m going to play another year.”

Despite the uncertainty, Vinatieri’s body of work speaks for itself and should be able to land him a job in Indianapolis or elsewhere as teams across the league look for steadier place-kicking solutions before the start of next season.

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Brett Hundley and the Packers

Brett Hundley and the Packers

The Bavarian Bierhaus in suburban Milwaukee has a pretty strong NFL game-day special: No one pays for beer until the Packers score.

You know the drill! #GoPackGo

Posted by The Bavarian Bierhaus on Sunday, November 19, 2017

With Aaron Rodgers leading the Packers’ offense for most of the season, that hasn’t meant all that much free beer. Over Green Bay’s first nine games, the Packers scored in the first quarter six times. The worst hit for the Bierhaus came in Week 1, when Green Bay didn’t score until about five minutes had elapsed in the third quarter against the Seahawks.

The promotion remained viable even after Rodgers went down with a broken collarbone in Week 6. The Packers scored just two minutes into their first game with Brett Hundley as their starter in Week 7 and — after going nearly an entire half without scoring in Week 8 — needed only 7:40 of game time to score in Week 9.

But then Sunday’s game against the Ravens happened, and the free beer never stopped flowing. Final score: Ravens 23, Packers 0, Green Bay’s first shutout loss at home in exactly 11 years, when Brett Favre got knocked out of the game and the Patriots won, 35-0. It was just the third time the Packers have been shut out overall since 1992.

Bierhaus GM Scott Bell told WTMJ radio that the restaurant served up between 275 and 300 servings of free beer to the 200 people who were taking in the game. He added that he has no plans to halt the promotion after the Packers’ offensive power outage.

“Wisconsinites and Packers fans are at least somewhat responsible,” Bell said.

The Steelers are up next for the Packers. Pittsburgh is allowing only 16.5 points per game to rank second in the NFL but also has allowed first-quarter points in six of its 10 games and hasn’t shut out an opponent since 2011.

Read more:

The Seahawks’ loss to the Falcons may signal the end of an era

The president attacked her son. So Marshawn Lynch’s mother fired back.

Wife of Raiders coach says she regrets voting for Trump after Marshawn Lynch criticism

Jerry Jones once told Robert Kraft to ‘take your medicine’ on Tom Brady’s Deflategate suspension

Saints’ Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara are the best running back tandem in the NFL

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NEW ORLEANS — Washington Redskins running back Chris Thompson broke his right fibula late in the third quarter Sunday against the Saints and was carted off the field.

Thompson, the Redskins’ most dynamic player this season, suffered the injury at the end of a third-down run by quarterback Kirk Cousins. Thompson was engaged in a block, and his right leg bent back after he got caught in an awkward position under Saints defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins.

An air cast was placed on Thompson’s right leg before he was helped off the field and loaded onto the cart. Teammates gathered around him and offered words of encouragement as he was lifted up.

Cousins also took a heavy hit on the play and received brief treatment from trainers while Washington executed a successful fake punt on fourth-and-1 on its own 15. Cousins came back on the field and led the Redskins on a touchdown drive, hitting Ryan Grant on a 40-yard scoring pass for a 24-13 lead.

The lead didn’t last, however, as the Saints rallied to tie the game at 31-31 in regulation thanks to Alvin Kamara’s 18-yard touchdown reception and two-point conversion rush with 1 minute, 5 seconds remaining, then won 34-31 in overtime when Wil Lutz kicked a 28-yard field goal.

“That hurts me more than anything, that we lost for Chris,” Redskins safety D.J. Swearinger said. “I told him we’ll bring this back home for him. I didn’t keep my word. If anything bothers me, that bothers me the most. We have one of our best guys go down, and we didn’t get the W for him. That’s tough. That’s tough.”

Thompson tweeted about his injury after the game, writing: “This hurts.”

Thompson entered the game leading Washington in rushing (277 yards) and receiving (494) and had scored four touchdowns. He also has improved dramatically in pass protection the past two years.

“He’s one of the most important players on our offense, especially when you get the ball back and need him for pass protection routes coming out of the backfield there at the end,” Redskins coach Jay Gruden said. “We obviously have to make do with the guys we have, and we will.”

The Redskins already lost running back Rob Kelley for the season with an ankle injury. They now have two running backs on the active roster: rookie Samaje Perine and Byron Marshall, signed earlier in the week off the Philadelphia Eagles’ practice squad.

The Redskins have suffered a number of injuries this season, but Thompson’s could arguably be the biggest because of his productivity and the fact that he’ll be difficult to replace. Marshall offers quickness and played some receiver in college, but Thompson’s ability to pass protect has made him invaluable.

“To have him go down is a huge, huge setback for us,” tight end Vernon Davis said. “Chris Thompson is one of the best in the league when it comes to running the ball, catching and making plays. To lose him is tough. It’s hard to replace a guy like that with his talent and his ability to do what he does. It’s a tough situation to be in.”

Redskins offensive tackle Morgan Moses echoed this sentiment.

“It’s hard to replace a guy like that,” Moses said. “You might not be able to replace a guy like that, what he brings to the offense, what he brings to the locker room. … But we can’t [dwell] on it.”

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The New Orleans Saints are celebrating their 51st birthday today.

Fun fact: November 1st also happens to be All Saints’ Day — New Orleans businessman David Dixon pushed for the the official announcement of the team to coincide with the Christian holiday.

Fast forward 51 years and the Saints have one of the most dedicated fan bases in the NFL. The franchise and the fans in New Orleans have been linked through tragedy and triumph. The team and community survived the horror of Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and five years later the Big Easy celebrated their Super Bowl XLIV victory over the Indianapolis Colts.

A lot has changed from since the Saints became a franchise.

Cost of Gas

1966: $0.32
2017: $2.47

No. 1 Hit Single

11/1/1966: “96 Tears” by ? and the Mysterians
11/1/2017: “Rock Star” by Post Malone feat. 21 Savage

U.S. Population

1966: 196.6 million
2017: 321.6 million

What head coach Sean Payton was up to

11/1/1966: Two-year-old Sean Payton was likely getting a hold of potty training like many other toddlers between the ages of two and three.
11/1/2017: Payton is in his 11th season as head coach of the Saints who are leading the NFC South with a 5-2 record.

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Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Editor’s Note: This is The MMQB Extra, a sneak peek from Peter King’s Monday Morning Quarterback column, which will be published in full early Monday morning.

Miami’s first three games this year:

• Beat the Chargers in Los Angeles when Younghoe Koo missed a 44-yard field goal with five seconds left that would have won the game, after the Dolphins decamped to California to avoid the hurricane that strafed Florida.

• Got embarrassed by the Jets, 20-6, in New Jersey.

• Got embarrassed by the Saints, 20-0, in London.

Football is a funny game. Then Miami won ugly over Tennessee 16-10. Then Miami fell behind Atlanta by 17 at the half and scored 20 unanswered to grab a 20-17 win. Then, on Sunday, Miami trailed the Jets by 14 after three quarters, lost starting quarterback Jay Cutler to a chest/rib injury, and backup Matt Moore led the Dolphins to 17 fourth-quarter points. Miami 31, New York 28.

Not just a Miami win, but one that could result in some quarterback questions. Cutler was getting an X-ray and possibly an MRI on his chest/ribs area Sunday night. With a Thursday night game looming at Baltimore, Gase might have a decision to make. If Cutler, the hand-picked quarterback Gase brought out of retirement when Ryan Tannehill was lost for the season in training camp, had some damage that would need healing time, Moore would certainly play against the Ravens. But if Cutler is okay to play, who would Gase choose: Cutler, who’d led Miami to a puny average of 10.5 points per game in the four games prior to Sunday, or Moore, who brought a spark to the offense and led Miami to 17 points in the last 13 minutes of a game they looked to have no business winning.

Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald reported Sunday night the team believes Cutler suffered cracked ribs and could miss at least one game. But we’ll know the medical results Monday, and the quarterback situation will be clear then.

Whatever the quarterback status, this is one wacky season, and it’s not even half over. When Dolphin players were leaving Hard Rock Stadium at dusk Sunday evening—if any of them cared to look—this is what the AFC East standings looked like prior to the Sunday night game between the Falcons and Patriots:

Miami, 4-2
Buffalo, 4-2
New England, 4-2
New York Jets, 3-4

“It’s crazy,” Moore said from Florida on Sunday evening. “Crazy. There’s no other word for it. Who can explain this? Who can explain this season?”

Wideout Kenny Stills, who caught the two fourth-quarter touchdowns that tied the game, tried to explain.

“Honestly,” Stills said by phone, “we’re a young team, but we’re a very football-smart team. After that loss to the Saints, we just went back to basics. That sounds like a cliché, but it’s real. Just honestly—we listen to the man [coach Adam Gase]. He’s sort of got us brainwashed. It’s one day at a time. But the guys listen.”

“The thing about this league is no one’s going to feel sorry for you, as you know,” Moore said. “But a game like today goes a long way toward reinforcing what [Gase] has told us. We got back from London, and it was pretty bad, and he just said, ‘Finish. Finish. If we’re going to change, if we’re going to turn it around, you be the change.’”

On Sunday, even though Cutler played fairly well and led Miami to two touchdown drives in a half of play, there seemed to a palpable change when Moore came into the game. Moore is a confident guy, but not a particularly inspirational one. When Cutler got lit up on a hit as he released a pass two minutes into the third quarter, all Moore said in the huddle was, “Hey, we’ll be fine. We’re gonna be good. Let’s go.”

Moore threw a pick on his first full series on an aggressive throw downfield, leading to the Jets’ final touchdown. But on his third series, Moore hit Stills perfectly down the right side for a 28-yard score. And midway through the fourth quarter, he capped a 54-yard drive, under some heavy pressure throughout, with a two-yard scoring throw that Stills nabbed, Beckham-style, one-handed in the end zone.

“That’s my fault,” Stills said. “I slowed up to avoid hitting someone, and if I’d just run through my route, it would have been an easy catch. But Matt threw me a perfect ball.”

Moore said he’d take whatever came his way; that’s the life of a backup quarterback. “You know it’s out of my hands,” he said. “When they got Jay, obviously it was tough for me, because I wanted to play. But I know how this game works. I wasn’t going to be miserable. That’s not who I am. I hit it off with Jay, and we’ve gotten along great, and whatever happens, I’ll deal with it. It’s good.”

There might be better teams in the NFL this year than the 4-2 Dolphins. But there aren’t many with higher highs and lower lows. It’s going to be a fascinating final 10 weeks for this team.